Session 4

Model Comparison; Measurement and Uncertainty

Further reading and materials

Model comparison

David MacKay - Model comparison videolectures

Statistical Rethinking

• Watch on YouTube

Measurement and Uncertainty

Statistical Rethinking

• Watch on YouTube

3 blue 1 brown - The medical test paradox, and Bayes’ factor

• Watch on YouTube

• Read: Colquhoun, D. (2014). An investigation of the false discovery rate and the misinterpretation of p-values. Royal Society Open Science, 1(3), 140216.

• Read: Ioannidis, J. P. A. (2005). Why Most Published Research Findings Are False. PLOS Medicine, 2(8), e124.

• Listen: BBC Sounds episode of The Spark with Stuart Ritchie on “Science Fictions: Exposing Fraud, Bias, Negligence and Hype in Science.”

• Read: Andrew Gelman’s “The Garden of Forking Paths” essay

Presentations

🖥️ Presentation 4a - Model selection & comparison

🖥️ Presentation 4b - Measurement and uncertainty

Practicals

• Practicals - Model Comparison
• Practicals - Measurement and uncertainty
• Bonus Practical - Uncertainty Propagation

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